Multimodal multi-output ordinal regression for discovering gravitationally-lensed transients

Jun 20, 2025·
Nicolò Pinciroli
Nicolò Pinciroli
,
Piero Fraternali
· 0 min read
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Abstract
Gravitational lenses are caused by massive astronomical objects that distort space-time, bending light. They can distort transient astrophysical events, such as supernovae (SN), which are the subject of extensive study. However, gravitationally-lensed supernovae are rare, with only a few detected so far. Future astronomical surveys will collect huge amounts of data, calling for automated and accurate discovery techniques to find them. Still, only a few works aim to discover gravitationally-lensed supernovae, most use only a few classes to characterize candidate observations, and only a few exploit spatial and temporal information. This work introduces Hydra, a novel pipeline designed to process spatio-temporal data for identifying and counting astronomical objects, including gravitational lenses and transients. Hydra performs two tasks: (i) counting the occurrences of 7 types of astronomical objects within each observation and (ii) classifying candidate events and objects (e.g. gravitational lenses and transient events). Across four datasets, Hydra achieves an average macro F1 score higher than 79% for the counting task and macro F1 scores ranging from ca. 59% to ca. 94% for classification. These results demonstrate its potential for improving automated discovery in future astronomical surveys and for counting objects in multimodal data.
Type
Publication
Machine Learning: Science and Technology
publications
Nicolò Pinciroli
Authors
Postdoctoral Research Fellow

I am a postdoctoral research fellow at Politecnico di Milano, working at the intersection of artificial intelligence and astrophysics. I develop methods that combine spectra, images, time series, and scientific literature to study rare astronomical sources and transient phenomena. My research spans multimodal representation learning, explainable AI, gravitationally lensed transients, and the search for candidate pulsating ultraluminous X-ray sources.

I collaborate with INAF’s Osservatorio Astronomico di Roma and AstroAI at the Center for Astrophysics | Harvard & Smithsonian. I also work on time-series anomaly detection, predictive maintenance, and language-model applications for energy efficiency, and lead Work Package 3 of the Horizon Europe ENERGENIUS project.

I completed my PhD in Information Technology at Politecnico di Milano in June 2026, with the thesis “Making discoveries with multimodal astrophysics.”